{"id":13001,"date":"2012-08-31T06:30:57","date_gmt":"2012-08-31T11:30:57","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/?p=13001"},"modified":"2012-09-02T12:13:34","modified_gmt":"2012-09-02T17:13:34","slug":"climate-indices-to-watch","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2012\/08\/climate-indices-to-watch\/","title":{"rendered":"Climate indices to watch"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"kcite-section\" kcite-section-id=\"13001\">\n<p><a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/images\/\/co2conc.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/images\/\/co2conc.jpg\" alt=\"\" title=\"co2conc\" width=\"553\" height=\"420\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-13028 lazyload\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/images\/co2conc.jpg 553w, https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/images\/co2conc-300x227.jpg 300w\" data-sizes=\"(max-width: 553px) 100vw, 553px\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 553px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 553\/420;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><strong>What is the most important climate condition to keep tabs on?<\/strong> We have recently mentioned the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2012\/08\/an-update-on-the-arctic-sea-ice\/\">record-low Arctic sea-ice extent<\/a>, but hurricanes this year seem to be getting the most attention because of timing of<a href=\"http:\/\/www.csmonitor.com\/USA\/Elections\/President\/2012\/0825\/Hurricane-Isaac-delays-start-of-Republican-National-Convention-in-Tampa\">Hurricane Isaac<\/a> (I know of no evidence suggesting that the Arctic sea-ice has such a direct impact on U.S. politics!). <\/p>\n<p>In addition, the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov\/products\/analysis_monitoring\/lanina\/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf\">status<\/a> of ENSO issued by NOAA on August 27, 2012, states that El Ni\u00f1o conditions are likely to develop during August or September 2012, although the present state is classified as &#8216;<em>ENSO-neutral<\/em>&#8216;. El Ni\u00f1o has a strong influence on local economies and societies in fairly extensive regions of the world.  ENSO is a natural phenomenon, but may change under a changing climate and is interesting to watch over the long term.<\/p>\n<p>It&#8217;s important to avoid getting lost into single indicators, however, as the climate system is complex, with many different parts interacting with one another. The <em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ametsoc.org\">American Meteorological Society<\/a><\/em><a href=\"http:\/\/www.ametsoc.org\"><\/a> (AMS) recently put out a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ametsoc.org\/policy\/2012climatechange.html\">statement<\/a> on climate change, referring to a wide range of different climate indicators (here is a <a href=\"http:\/\/www.ncdc.noaa.gov\/bams-state-of-the-climate\/2009-time-series\/\">link<\/a> for the most common ones). The AMS is not alone &#8211; the <em><a href=\"http:\/\/nas-sites.org\/\">National Academy for Sciences<\/a><\/em> (NAS) is also concerned about our climate and its many aspects: A fairly recent movie called <a href=\"http:\/\/nas-sites.org\/americasclimatechoices\/summaries-and-videos-from-the-acc-series\/climate-change-lines-of-evidence-videos\/\"><del datetime=\"2012-09-01T15:29:55+00:00\">Climate change at the NAS<\/del> Climate Change: Lines of Evidence<\/a> provides a comprehensive overview. <\/p>\n<p>Both AMS and NAS accounts provide a rich picture of many different aspects with many different (important) details, which make them fairly long and complicated. This is why simple indices sometimes are used &#8211; to convey a simple message. We need both, and that&#8217;s why the NAS video and the AMS statement are so valuable &#8211; at least for the readers who understand what they are talking about. I&#8217;m not sure that everybody does, though.<\/p>\n<p><em><a href='http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/images\/\/R4Keelercurve.txt'>R-script for making pretty picture<\/a><\/em><\/p>\n<!-- kcite active, but no citations found -->\n<\/div> <!-- kcite-section 13001 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>What is the most important climate condition to keep tabs on? We have recently mentioned the record-low Arctic sea-ice extent, but hurricanes this year seem to be getting the most attention because of timing ofHurricane Isaac (I know of no evidence suggesting that the Arctic sea-ice has such a direct impact on U.S. politics!). In [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1,35,39],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-13001","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-climate-science","7":"category-communicating-climate","8":"category-open-thread","9":"entry"},"aioseo_notices":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13001","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13001"}],"version-history":[{"count":33,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13001\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13045,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13001\/revisions\/13045"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13001"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13001"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13001"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}