OISM

From RCwiki

The Oregon Institute of Science and Medicine has promoted a paper on global warming entitled "Environmental effects of increased atmospheric carbon dioxide", which has had a number of incarnations since 1999.

• Soon, W., Sallie L. Baliunas, Arthur B. Robinson, Zachary W. Robinson (1999), Climate Research, 13: 149–164

• 2000 version by Robinson A., S. Baliunas, Z. Robinson and W. Soon

• 2007 version by Robinson, A., N. Robinson and W. Soon (hereafter RRS)

Contents 1 Basic Errors 1.1 Figure 1 2 Cherry Picks 3 Journal =

Basic Errors

Figure 1

• The dating of the Sargasso Sea record is 50 years out, because they misunderstand the use of 'BP' (Before Present) dates in paleo-records, which refers to before 1950 AD, not the present day.
• The 2006 plotted value is incorrect. Current SST in the Sargasso Sea region is about half a degree above 23 deg C line and while this was included in the original figure, it has been deleted here.

• RRS state “The average temperature of the Earth has varied within a range of about 3°C during the past 3,000 years”. This is actually derived purely from Figure 1, and show refers the Sargasso Sea temperatures, not any kind of hemispheric or global compilation.
• The notion of 'rebound' of climate from the Little Ice Age has no support in the climate literature.

• Humans exhaling CO2 do not contribute to accumulating GHGs.
• Most of the graphs show amount of fuel burnt, rather than CO2 concentrations, or better still radiative forcing. No direct correlation is expected from hydrocarbon use to climate.

• Neptune is not significantly showing a response to solar forcing “The nature of Neptune’s increasing brightness: evidence for a seasonal response” Sromovsky et al (2003), Suggestive correlations between the brightness of Neptune, solar variability, and Earth's temperature? (Stoat)

• "There is [no correlation] between hydrocarbon use and temperature". This is not true. Even between use and temperature there is a correlation, and between radiative forcing and temperature (the more appropriate comparison) the correlation is stronger.

Cherry Picks

• Only the Sargasso Sea record the only one used in the paper, rather than any of the compilations

Journal =

• The Journal of Physicians and Surgeons is a very non-standard venue for climate science papers
• Strange Bedfellows