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1.5ºC and all that

28 Dec 2025 by Gavin

The Paris Agreement temperature limits are a little ambiguous and knowing where we are is tricky.

[Read more…] about 1.5ºC and all that

Filed Under: Climate Science, Featured Story, Instrumental Record Tagged With: GMST

Unforced variations: Jan 2026

1 Jan 2026 by group

This month’s open thread. We’re not great ones for New Year’s resolutions, but let’s try. How about we resolve to stay substantive, refrain from abusing one another, and maintaining a generosity of spirit when interacting with others?

Lots of things get updated in January and we’ll try and keep up, though possibly with less fanfare than in previous years. In other news, we await the (supposedly imminent) release of a new “National Climate Assessment”, and the (supposedly imminent) engagement of the authors of the DOE ‘climate report’ with the extensive critiques they received. Meanwhile CMIP7 has started, and we expect results to trickle into the databases throughout the year – dig into some of the literature to get a sense of what will change (better models, improved forcings, etc.).

Eppure si riscaldi.

Filed Under: Climate modelling, Climate Science, Instrumental Record, Open thread, Solutions

Unforced Variations: Mar 2026

28 Feb 2026 by group

This month’s open thread for climate related topics.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Unforced Variations: Apr 2026

13 Apr 2026 by group

Somewhat belated open thread for this month! (Oops). Please stick to climate related topics, and remain respectful.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Scenarios, schmenarios…

20 May 2026 by Gavin 66 Comments

The fantasy version of the normal updating of scenarios for a new round of CMIP simulations doing the rounds is bad faith BS.

[Read more…] about Scenarios, schmenarios…

Filed Under: Aerosols, Climate impacts, Climate modelling, Climate Science, Featured Story, Greenhouse gases, In the News, IPCC, Reporting on climate, Scientific practice Tagged With: CMIP6, CMIP7, projections, RCP85, SSP585

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