{"id":1940,"date":"2009-11-24T12:04:52","date_gmt":"2009-11-24T17:04:52","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/?p=1940"},"modified":"2009-11-25T12:15:30","modified_gmt":"2009-11-25T17:15:30","slug":"copenhagen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2009\/11\/copenhagen\/","title":{"rendered":"Copenhagen"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"kcite-section\" kcite-section-id=\"1940\">\n<p>Nov. 24th, 2009  <a href = \"http:\/\/www.copenhagendiagnosis.org\"><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/LOGO_CD-300x70.gif\" alt=\"Copenhagen Diagnosis\" width=\"300\" height=\"70\" align = 'center' src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 300px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 300\/70;\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>The &#8216;<i>Copenhagen Diagnosis<\/i>&#8216;, a report by 26 scientists from around the world was released today.  The report is intended as an update to the <a href = \"http:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/publications_and_data\/publications_ipcc_fourth_assessment_report_wg1_report_the_physical_science_basis.htm\">IPCC 2007 Working Group 1 report<\/a>.  Like the IPCC report, everything in the <i>Copenhagen Diagnosis<\/i> is from the peer-reviewed literature, so there is nothing really new.  But the report summarizes and highlights those studies, published since the (2006) close-off date for the IPCC report, that the authors deemed most relevant to the <a href = \"http:\/\/en.cop15.dk\/\">negotiations in Copenhagen (COP15)<\/a> next month.  This  report was written for policy-makers, stakeholders, the media and the broader public, and has been sent to each and every one of the COP15 negotiating teams throughout the world.<\/p>\n<p>Among the points summarized in the report are that:<\/p>\n<p>The ice sheets are both losing mass (and hence contributing to sea level rise).  This was not certain at the time of the IPCC report.<\/p>\n<p>Arctic sea ice has declined faster than projected by IPCC.<\/p>\n<p>Greenhouse gas concentrations have continued to track the upper bounds of IPCC projections.<\/p>\n<p>Observed global temperature changes remain entirely in accord with IPCC projections, i.e. an anthropogenic warming trend of about 0.2 \u00baC per decade with superimposed short-term natural variability.<\/p>\n<p>Sea level has risen more than 5 centimeters over the past 15 years, about 80% higher than IPCC projections from 2001.<\/p>\n<p>Perhaps most importantly, the report articulates a much clearer picture of what has to happen if the world wants to keep future warming within the reasonable threshold (2\u00b0C) that the European Union and the G8 nations <a href =\"http:\/\/news.bbc.co.uk\/2\/hi\/8141352.stm\">have already agreed to<\/a> in principle.<\/p>\n<p>The full report is available at <a href = \"http:\/\/www.copenhagendiagnosis.com\">www.copenhagendiagnosis.org<\/a>.  Three of us at RealClimate are co-authors so we can&#8217;t offer an independent review of the report here.  We welcome discussion in the comments section though.  But read the report first before commenting, please.<\/p>\n<!-- kcite active, but no citations found -->\n<\/div> <!-- kcite-section 1940 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nov. 24th, 2009 The &#8216;Copenhagen Diagnosis&#8216;, a report by 26 scientists from around the world was released today. The report is intended as an update to the IPCC 2007 Working Group 1 report. Like the IPCC report, everything in the Copenhagen Diagnosis is from the peer-reviewed literature, so there is nothing really new. 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