{"id":19522,"date":"2016-08-16T17:30:12","date_gmt":"2016-08-16T22:30:12","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/?p=19522"},"modified":"2016-08-16T17:30:12","modified_gmt":"2016-08-16T22:30:12","slug":"australian-silliness-and-july-temperature-records","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/archives\/2016\/08\/australian-silliness-and-july-temperature-records\/","title":{"rendered":"Australian silliness and July temperature records"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"kcite-section\" kcite-section-id=\"19522\">\n<p>Some of you that follow <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\">my twitter account<\/a> will have already seen this, but there was a particularly amusing episode of Q&#038;A on Australian TV that pitted Prof. Brian Cox against a newly-elected politician who is known for his somewhat fringe climate &#8216;contrarian&#8217; views. The resulting exchanges were fun:<br \/>\n<!--more--><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">We&#39;ve had a pause in warming &amp; NASA corrupted data, says Malcolm Roberts. <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ProfBrianCox?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">@ProfBrianCox<\/a> examines the graphs <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/hashtag\/QandA?src=hash&amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">#QandA<\/a> <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/HTNk4Bzrk1\">https:\/\/t.co\/HTNk4Bzrk1<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; QandA (@QandA) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/QandA\/status\/765155774234439680?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><\/p>\n<p>The insinuation that NASA data was corrupting the data, lead to the following series of tweets:<\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Some thoughts on climate deniers (no other word suffices in this case), who accuse my team of fraud. 1\/n<a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/CcCJnlPd3b\">https:\/\/t.co\/CcCJnlPd3b<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765201826295808000?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765202358284476416 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">The analysis has only ever used publicly available data, analysis code has been public since ~2007 &amp; has been independently verified 3\/n<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765203226442465281?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765203531779416064 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Link here: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/5rGGCxVXBp\">https:\/\/t.co\/5rGGCxVXBp<\/a> 5\/n<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765203926719295488?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765204471211261952 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">These changes are small compared to overall trends. Interactive plotter available here: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/t7wFU3ofev\">https:\/\/t.co\/t7wFU3ofev<\/a> 7\/n <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/9gFMzktEzO\">pic.twitter.com\/9gFMzktEzO<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765205631364128773?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765207096728117248 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">So I&#39;m flummoxed. Where do these ppl feel data manipulation is happening? It&#39;s not in inputs or the code or presentation. So where??? 9\/n<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765207937409253380?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765208873389129729 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Refusal to see this, cries of &#39;show me the data&#39; when all data is accessible at a click, can only be described as denial (sorry) 11\/n<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765209587297419265?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script><br \/>\n<!-- https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765210262379106304 --><\/p>\n<blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-width=\"500\" data-dnt=\"true\">\n<p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\">Oops. Just added to the conspiracy theories by linking to an internal server(!) Here is the public version: <a href=\"https:\/\/t.co\/nALWMlNDcP\">https:\/\/t.co\/nALWMlNDcP<\/a> 13\/12<\/p>\n<p>&mdash; Gavin Schmidt (@ClimateOfGavin) <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765212310629670917?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\">August 15, 2016<\/a><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p><script async src=\"https:\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"><\/script> <\/p>\n<p>By coincidence, yesterday was also the scheduled update for the <a href=\"http:\/\/data.giss.nasa.gov\/gistemp\/\">GISTEMP<\/a> July temperature release, and because July is usually the warmest month of the year on an absolute basis, a record in July usually means a record of absolute temperature too. A record February (as we had earlier this year) is generally with respect only to previous Februaries, summer temperatures are still warmer even if the anomaly is smaller. And so <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/ClimateOfGavin\/status\/765281511121780737\">it proved<\/a>&#8230;<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/images\/gistemp_seas.png\" width=90% src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 3000px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 3000\/2400;\" \/><\/p>\n<p>Normally we just plot the monthly anomalies (with respect to each month), but here I used the estimates of the seasonal cycle in temperature from <a href=\"https:\/\/gmao.gsfc.nasa.gov\/reanalysis\/MERRA-2\/\">MERRA2<\/a> to enhance the analysis so that months can be compared in an absolute sense. <\/p>\n<p>This string of record-breaking months is coming to a close now that El Ni\u00f1o has faded, but it is sufficient to give a very high likelihood that 2016 will be a record warm year in the surface records. <\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-src=\"\/images\/gistemp_predJul16.png\" width=90% src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;base64,PHN2ZyB3aWR0aD0iMSIgaGVpZ2h0PSIxIiB4bWxucz0iaHR0cDovL3d3dy53My5vcmcvMjAwMC9zdmciPjwvc3ZnPg==\" class=\"lazyload\" style=\"--smush-placeholder-width: 3000px; --smush-placeholder-aspect-ratio: 3000\/2400;\" \/><\/p>\n<!-- kcite active, but no citations found -->\n<\/div> <!-- kcite-section 19522 -->","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some of you that follow my twitter account will have already seen this, but there was a particularly amusing episode of Q&#038;A on Australian TV that pitted Prof. Brian Cox against a newly-elected politician who is known for his somewhat fringe climate &#8216;contrarian&#8217; views. The resulting exchanges were fun:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_exactmetrics_skip_tracking":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_active":false,"_exactmetrics_sitenote_note":"","_exactmetrics_sitenote_category":0,"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1,27,9],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-19522","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-climate-science","7":"category-el-nino","8":"category-instrumental-record","9":"entry"},"aioseo_notices":[],"post_mailing_queue_ids":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19522","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=19522"}],"version-history":[{"count":9,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19522\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":19533,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/19522\/revisions\/19533"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=19522"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=19522"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.realclimate.org\/index.php\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=19522"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}