The title of this post might seem like a truism, but for about a decade some people have claimed the opposite, and many people have spent much time and effort trying to understand why. Much of that effort was wasted. … Read Full Article about Cold extremes do in fact decrease under global warming
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New journal: Nature 2023?
By Gavin
[Last update Oct 11, 2024] There were a number of media reports today related to , for instance, New Scientist, The Guardian etc. However, this is really just the beginning of what is likely to be a bit of a cottage industry in the next few months relating to possible causes/influences on the extreme temperatures seen in 2023. So to help people keep track, we'll maintain a list here to focus … Read Full Article about New journal: Nature 2023?
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Unforced Variations: Oct 2024
This month's open thread for climate topics. Please stay vaguely on topic and do not abuse other commenters. … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Oct 2024
Phantastic Job!
A truly impressive paper was published this week with a new reconstruction of global temperatures over the last ~500 million years. … Read Full Article about Phantastic Job!
Unforced Variations: Sep 2024
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This month's open thread on climate topics. Try to be constructive! … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Sep 2024
Oh My, Oh Miocene!
By Gavin 79 Comments
A recent paper suggested that 'climate sensitivity' derived from a new paleo-CO2 record is around 7.2ºC (for equilibrium climate sensitivity ECS) and ~13.9ºC (Earth System Sensitivity - ESS) for a doubling of CO2. Some press has suggested that this means that "Earth’s Temperature Could Increase by … Read Full Article about Oh My, Oh Miocene!
The need for pluralism in climate modelling
How should we allocate resources for climate modelling if the goal is to improve climate-related decisions? Higher resolution, machine learning and/or storylines? A call for a deeper discussion on how we should develop the climate modelling toolbox. Guest post by Marina Baldissera Pacchetti, … Read Full Article about The need for pluralism in climate modelling
Unforced variations: Aug 2024
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This month's open thread on climate topics. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Aug 2024
Unforced variations: July 2024
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This month's open thread on climate science topics. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: July 2024
Unforced variations: June 2024
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This month's open thread on climate topics. Please stay focused, minimize repetitive comments, and maintain a half-way decent level of decorum. Thanks! … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: June 2024
Unforced Variations: May 2024
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This month's open thread on climate topics. Many eyes will be focused on whether April temperatures will be the 11th month in row of records... Note that we have updated the data and figures from the Nenana Ice Classic and Dawson City river ice break up pools (the nominal 13th and 5th earliest … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: May 2024
Much ado about acceleration
By Gavin
There has been a lot of commentary about perceived disagreements among climate scientists about whether climate change is (or will soon be) accelerating. As with most punditry, there is less here than it might seem. … Read Full Article about Much ado about acceleration