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Comparison of four instrumental records which all coherently show warming since 1880.

2022 updates to the temperature records

13 Jan 2023 By Gavin 56 Comments

Another January, another annual data point. As in years past, the annual rollout of the GISTEMP, NOAA, HadCRUT and Berkeley Earth analyses of the surface temperature record have brought forth many stories about the long term trends and specific events of 2022 - mostly focused on the impacts of the (ongoing) La Niña event and the litany of weather extremes (UK and elsewhere having record years, … Read Full Article about 2022 updates to the temperature records

Featured Story

Serious mistakes found in recent paper by Connolly et al.

29 Nov 2022 By rasmus 83 Comments

Guest post by Mark Richardson who is a Research Scientist in the Aerosol and Clouds Group at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology. All opinions expressed are his own and do not in any way represent those of NASA, JPL or Caltech. Should scientists choose to believe provably false things? Even though that would mean more inclusive debates with a wider range of … Read Full Article about Serious mistakes found in recent paper by Connolly et al.

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Trends in sea surface temperature

New misguided interpretations of the greenhouse effect from William Kininmonth

1 Oct 2022 By rasmus

I have a feeling that we are seeing the start of a new wave of climate change denial and misrepresentation of science. At the same time, CEOs of gas and oil companies express optimism for further exploitation of fossil energy in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, at least here in … Read Full Article about New misguided interpretations of the greenhouse effect from William Kininmonth

Unforced variations: Jan 2023

7 Jan 2023 By group 157 Comments

Starting a little slowly this new year, but here is this month's open thread. Look out for various updates of the annual 2022 numbers over the next week or so... … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Jan 2023

The water south of Greenland has been cooling, so what causes that?

17 Dec 2022 By Stefan 63 Comments

Let’s compare two possibilities by a back-of-envelope calculation. (1) Is it due to a reduced heat transport of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC)? (2) Or is it simply due to the influx of cold meltwater as the Greenland Ice Sheet is losing ice? The latter is often … Read Full Article about The water south of Greenland has been cooling, so what causes that?

Unforced variations: Dec 2022

3 Dec 2022 By group

This month's open thread for climate discussions. Please be constructive and polite. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Dec 2022

Unforced variations: Nov 2022

1 Nov 2022 By group

This month's open thread. Anyone read Greta Thunberg's book? or have an opinion about soup? Be substantive, be polite, be talking about climate. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Nov 2022

The #ConcordOslo2022 workshop

25 Oct 2022 By rasmus

In recent years, the idea of climate change adaptation has received more and more attention and has become even more urgent with the unfolding of a number of extreme weather-related calamities. I wrote a piece on climate change adaptation last year here on RealClimate, and many of the issues that I … Read Full Article about The #ConcordOslo2022 workshop

Scafetta comes back for more

10 Oct 2022 By Gavin

[latexpage] A new paper from Scafetta and it's almost as bad as the last one. Back in March, we outlined how a model-observations comparison paper in GRL by Nicola Scafetta () got wrong basically everything that one could get wrong (the uncertainty in the observations, the internal variability … Read Full Article about Scafetta comes back for more

Unforced variations: Oct 2022

7 Oct 2022 By group

This month's open thread on climate-related topics (sorry for the slight delay in setting it up). As usual, try to limit yourself to one comment a day, don't be unnecessarily aggressive and try to be substantive. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Oct 2022

Watching the detections

25 Sep 2022 By Gavin

The detection and the attribution of climate change are based on fundamentally different frameworks and shouldn't be conflated. We read about and use the phrase 'detection and attribution' of climate change so often that it seems like it's just one word 'detectionandattribution' and that might … Read Full Article about Watching the detections

The change in absorbed shortwave from CERES and inferred from Earthshine

A CERES of fortunate events…

18 Sep 2022 By Gavin

[latexpage] The CERES estimates of the top-of-atmosphere radiative fluxes are available from 2001 to the present. That is long enough to see that there has been a noticeable trend in the Earth's Energy Imbalance (EEI), mostly driven by a reduction in the solar radiation reflected by the planet, … Read Full Article about A CERES of fortunate events…

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  • 2022 updates to the temperature records
  • Unforced variations: Jan 2023
  • The water south of Greenland has been cooling, so what causes that?
  • Unforced variations: Dec 2022
  • Serious mistakes found in recent paper by Connolly et al.
  • Unforced variations: Nov 2022

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