There has been a frenzy around artificial intelligence and deep machine learning (AI/ML) since the “ChatGPT Moment” in 2022, and AI/ML is for sure going to affect us all. It strikes me that this buzz also looks more like a science fiction story (utopy/dystopy) than the old-fashion Clondyke goldrush craze. … Read Full Article about AI/ML climate magic?
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1.5ºC and all that
By Gavin 94 Comments
The Paris Agreement temperature limits are a little ambiguous and knowing where we are is tricky. … Read Full Article about 1.5ºC and all that
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Unforced variations: Jan 2026
By group 82 Comments
This month's open thread. We're not great ones for New Year's resolutions, but let's try. How about we resolve to stay substantive, refrain from abusing one another, and maintaining a generosity of spirit when interacting with others? Lots of things get updated in January and we'll try and keep … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Jan 2026
Unforced Variations: Dec 2025
By group
This month's open thread on climate topics as 2025 wraps up. Please be courteous to each other. Tis the season! … Read Full Article about Unforced Variations: Dec 2025

Who should pay?
By Gavin 97 Comments
Climate risk scores on real estate listings are having an impact on prices and realtors are complaining. But who should pay for these losses? … Read Full Article about Who should pay?
Site updates etc.
By Gavin 5 Comments
Hi folks, just a quick maintenance notice to say that we are upgrading the blog to a more recent version of PHP (which is the code that underlies Wordpress) (going from version 7.4 to 8.3). Unfortunately, this has caused problems for two of the older plugins we use, Kcite (which provides the inline … Read Full Article about Site updates etc.

Raising Climate Literacy
By group
Guest commentary by Figen Mekik Climate change has become “that” topic – like evolution of species, plate tectonics, or AI where the public has heard so much about it that many think . Such confidence can be both a good and bad thing. The upside is that the biggest global societal … Read Full Article about Raising Climate Literacy
Unforced variations: Nov 2025
By group
This month's open thread. Please stick to climate-related topics and refrain from abusive behavior. … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Nov 2025

High-resolution ‘fingerprint’ images reveal a weakening Atlantic Ocean circulation (AMOC)
By Stefan
The #AMOC is the reason for Europe’s mild climate. Evidence that it is slowing has been piling up over the years – it now is likely at its weakest in at least a millennium, and it may even be approaching a tipping point. Here I will show you the latest high-resolution images – and also discuss … Read Full Article about High-resolution ‘fingerprint’ images reveal a weakening Atlantic Ocean circulation (AMOC)
Unforced variations: Oct 2025
By group
This month's open thread. Lots of salient stuff this month so please try and stay focused and constructive! … Read Full Article about Unforced variations: Oct 2025

“But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!”
By Gavin
Almost two decades ago, some scientists predicted that Arctic summer sea ice would 'soon' disappear. These predictions were mentioned by Al Gore and got a lot of press. However, they did not gain wide acceptance in the scientific community, and were swiftly disproven. Unsurprisingly, this still … Read Full Article about “But you said the ice was going to disappear in 10 years!”

Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman
By Gavin
Here we go again. An obscure, methodologically poor, paper published with little to no review makes a convenient point and gets elevated into supposedly 'blockbusting' science by the merchants of bullshit, sorry, doubt. Actual scientists drop everything to respond, but not before the (convenient) … Read Full Article about Time and Tide Gauges wait for no Voortman