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Archives for February 2019

The best case for worst case scenarios

26 Feb 2019 by Gavin

The “end of the world” or “good for you” are the two least likely among the spectrum of potential outcomes.

Stephen Schneider

Scientists have been looking at best, middling and worst case scenarios for anthropogenic climate change for decades. For instance, Stephen Schneider himself took a turn back in 2009. And others have postulated both far more rosy and far more catastrophic possibilities as well (with somewhat variable evidentiary bases).

[Read more…] about The best case for worst case scenarios

References

  1. S. Schneider, "The worst-case scenario", Nature, vol. 458, pp. 1104-1105, 2009. http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/4581104a

Filed Under: Climate impacts, Climate modelling, Climate Science, Communicating Climate, IPCC, Reporting on climate, Scientific practice

Update day

7 Feb 2019 by Gavin

So Wednesday was temperature series update day. The HadCRUT4, NOAA NCEI and GISTEMP time-series were all updated through to the end of 2018 (slightly delayed by the federal government shutdown). Berkeley Earth and the MSU satellite datasets were updated a couple of weeks ago. And that means that everyone gets to add a single additional annual data point to their model-observation comparison plots!

[Read more…] about Update day

Filed Under: Climate Science, Instrumental Record

Forced Responses: Feb 2019

1 Feb 2019 by group

A bimonthly thread on societal responses to climate change. Note that there is another open thread for climate science topics. Please stick to specifics as opposed to arguments about ethics, politics or morality in general.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Unforced variations: Feb 2019

1 Feb 2019 by group

This month’s open thread for climate science discussions.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

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