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National Climate Assessment links

21 Jul 2025 by group 4 Comments

For some reason, it has become hard to locate the various National Climate Assessments (NCAs) that have been produced by the USGCRP over the decades (and it’s pretty hard to find the USGRCP as well…). However, the reports are still accessible if you know where to look. So for future reference, here are all the links (and we’ve downloaded the pdfs locally so that they will always be available here).

NCA1 (2000)

  • Full report (via the internet archive) (via gov archive) (local pdf)

NCA2 (2009)

  • Full report (via the internet archive) (via gov archive) (local pdf)

NCA3 (2014)

  • Full Report (via the NOAA library) (local pdf)
  • Climate Science Supplement (via the internet archive) (local pdf)

NCA4 (2017)

  • Volume 1 Climate Science Special Report (via the NOAA library) (local pdf)
  • Volume 2 Impacts, Risks, and Adaptation in the United States (via the NOAA Library) (local pdf)

NCA5 (2023)

  • The NCA5 Atlas (via ESRI)
  • Full report (via the NOAA Library) (local pdf)

NCA6

There is no ongoing NCA6 process, even though it is mandated by Congress to be completed over the next few years. We’ll let you know if that changes.

Filed Under: Climate impacts, Climate Science, climate services, In the News Tagged With: National Climate Assessment, NCA, USGCRP

Ocean circulation going South?

13 Jul 2025 by Gavin 41 Comments

Some intriguing new measurements of salinity in the oceans around Antarctica have set off reams of sensationalist speculations. Maybe some context is helpful…

[Read more…] about Ocean circulation going South?

Filed Under: Arctic and Antarctic, Climate modelling, Climate Science, Featured Story, hydrological cycle, Instrumental Record, Oceans Tagged With: salinity, sea ice, Southern Ocean

Melange à Trois

8 Jul 2025 by Gavin 72 Comments

In honor of the revelation today, that Koonin, Christy and Spencer have been made Special Government Employees at the Dept. of Energy, we present a quick round up of our commentary on the caliber of their arguments we’ve posted here over the last decade or so.

TL;DR? The arguments are not very good.

[Read more…] about Melange à Trois

Filed Under: Climate Science, Featured Story, In the News, Instrumental Record, Model-Obs Comparisons, Scientific practice Tagged With: John Christy, MSU, Roy Spencer, Steve Koonin

Unforced variations: July 2025

1 Jul 2025 by group 538 Comments

This month’s open thread. Try to stick to climate topics.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Unforced variations: Jun 2025

1 Jun 2025 by group

This month’s open thread. Please stay on climate topics and try to be constructive.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time

31 May 2025 by Gavin 256 Comments

Over multiple generations of CMIP models Arctic sea ice trend predictions have gone from much too stable to about right. Why?

[Read more…] about Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time

Filed Under: Arctic and Antarctic, Climate modelling, Climate Science, Featured Story, Model-Obs Comparisons Tagged With: Arctic amplification, CMIP3, CMIP5, CMIP6

The most recent climate status

12 May 2025 by rasmus

Fjords and mountains in Northern Norway
Fjords and mountains in Northern Norway

The Arctic Council’s Arctic Monitoring and assessment Programme (AMAP) recently released a Summary for PolicyMakers’ Arctic Climate Change Update 2024. 

[Read more…] about The most recent climate status

Filed Under: Arctic and Antarctic, Climate impacts, Climate Science, Featured Story, Reporting on climate

Unforced variations: May 2025

1 May 2025 by group

This month’s open thread. Note that the Nenana Ice challenge break up date graph has been updated, and the Yukon river ice break up is imminent (or may have already happened! [Update – it already had]). Please stay focused on climate issues.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

Unforced Variations: Apr 2025

1 Apr 2025 by group

This month’s open thread for climate topics. Please try to stay focused on climate instead of generic (and tedious) political sniping.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread, Solutions

WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

20 Mar 2025 by Gavin

The WMO released its (now) annual state of the climate report this week. As well as the (now) standard set of graphs related to increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, rising temperatures, reducing glacier mass, etc., Zeke Hausfather and I wrote up a short synthesis on the contributions to recent temperature anomalies.

[Read more…] about WMO: Update on 2023/4 Anomalies

Filed Under: Aerosols, Climate modelling, Climate Science, El Nino, Featured Story, Instrumental Record Tagged With: 2023, 2024

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  • National Climate Assessment links
  • Ocean circulation going South?
  • Melange à Trois
  • Unforced variations: July 2025
  • Unforced variations: Jun 2025
  • Predicted Arctic sea ice trends over time

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