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Unforced variations: Nov 2014

2 Nov 2014 by group

This month’s open thread. In honour of today’s New York Marathon, we are expecting the fastest of you to read and digest the final IPCC Synthesis report in sub-3 hours. For those who didn’t keep up with the IPCC training regime, the Summary for Policy Makers provides a more accessible target.

Also in the news, follow #ArcticCircle2014 for some great info on the Arctic Circle meeting in Iceland.

Filed Under: Climate Science, IPCC, Open thread

Storm surge: Hurricane Sandy

29 Oct 2014 by group

On the second anniversary of Superstorm Sandy making landfall, we are running an extract from a new book by Adam Sobel “Storm Surge: Hurricane Sandy, Our Changing Climate, and Extreme Weather of the Past and Future”. It’s a great read covering the meteorology of the event, the preparation, the response and the implications for the future.

[Read more…] about Storm surge: Hurricane Sandy

Filed Under: Climate Science, Hurricanes, Reviews

How do trees change the climate?

27 Oct 2014 by group

Guest commentary from Abby Swann (U. Washington)

This past month, an op-ed by Nadine Unger appeared in the New York Times with the headline “To save the climate, don’t plant trees”.  The author’s main argument is that UN programs to address climate change by planting trees or preserving existing forests are “high risk” and a “bad bet”. [Ed. There is more background on the op-ed here]

However, I don’t think that these conclusions are supported by the science.  The author connects unrelated issues about trees, conflates what we know about trees from different latitudes, and fails to convey the main point: tropical trees keep climate cool locally, help keep rainfall rates high, and have innumerable non-climate benefits including maintaining habitat and supporting biodiversity.

A translation of this post in German is available here

[Read more…] about How do trees change the climate?

Filed Under: Carbon cycle, Climate Science, Greenhouse gases

Climate response estimates from Lewis & Curry

6 Oct 2014 by group

Guest commentary from Richard Millar (U. Oxford)

The recent Lewis and Curry study of climate sensitivity estimated from the transient surface temperature record is being lauded as something of a game-changer – but how much of a game-changer is it really?

[Read more…] about Climate response estimates from Lewis & Curry

References

  1. N. Lewis, and J.A. Curry, "The implications for climate sensitivity of AR5 forcing and heat uptake estimates", Climate Dynamics, vol. 45, pp. 1009-1023, 2014. http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-014-2342-y

Filed Under: Climate modelling, Climate Science, Greenhouse gases, Instrumental Record, IPCC

Unforced variations: Oct 2014

4 Oct 2014 by group

This month’s open thread.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

Unforced variations: September 2014

2 Sep 2014 by group

This month’s open thread. People could waste time rebunking predictable cherry-picked claims about the upcoming Arctic sea ice minimum, or perhaps discuss a selection of 10 climate change controversies from ICSU… Anything! (except mitigation).

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

Unforced variations: Aug 2014

5 Aug 2014 by group

This month’s open thread. Keeping track of the Arctic sea ice minimum is interesting but there should be plenty of other climate science topics to discuss (if people can get past the hype about the Ebola outbreak or imaginary claims about anomalous thrusting). As with last month, pleas no discussion of mitigation strategies – it unfortunately does not bring out the best in the commentariat.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

Unforced variations: July 2014

2 Jul 2014 by group

This month’s open thread. Topics of potential interest: The successful OCO-2 launch, continuing likelihood of an El Niño event this fall, predictions of the September Arctic sea ice minimum, Antarctic sea ice excursions, stochastic elements in climate models etc. Just for a change, no discussion of mitigation efforts please!

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

Unforced variations: June 2014

1 Jun 2014 by group

June is the month when the Arctic Sea Ice outlook gets going, when the EPA releases its rules on power plant CO2 emissions, and when, hopefully, commenters can get back to actually having constructive and respectful conversations about climate science (and not nuclear energy, impending apocalypsi (pl) or how terrible everyone else is). Thanks.

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

Unforced variations: May 2014

2 May 2014 by group

This month’s open thread. In order to give everyone a break, no discussion of mitigation options this month – that has been done to death in previous threads. Anything related to climate science is totally fine: Carbon dioxide levels maybe, or TED talks perhaps…

Filed Under: Climate Science, Open thread

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